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11th Jun 2025

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Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 76.3%

Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
1X Argentina Primera Women
Strong lean · 78/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X has been a slower burner for us at 75% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Over 1.5 Paraguay Division Intermedia
Strong lean · 77/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 74% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Over 1.5 Russia FNL Round 1
Strong lean · 77/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 74% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Strong lean · 78/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X has been a slower burner for us at 75% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
1 Brazil Catarinense U20
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
1 Argentina Primera Women
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.3% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 75% for us across the last 90 days (48 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75% against a site average of 76.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 74% for us across the last 90 days (50 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 74% against a site average of 76.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 74% for us across the last 90 days (50 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 74% against a site average of 76.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 75% for us across the last 90 days (48 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75% against a site average of 76.3%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.3% for us across the last 90 days (331 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 76.3% average, landing at 77.3% across 331 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.3% for us across the last 90 days (331 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1 has actually run ahead of our overall 76.3% average, landing at 77.3% across 331 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

Today's Confidence Ladder

Mon 13 Jul · Ranked by stated win probability

Locked In
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
1X Argentina Primera Women
80%
Locked In
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Over 1.5 Paraguay Division Intermedia
80%
Locked In
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Over 1.5 Russia FNL Round 1
80%
Locked In
80%
Fancied
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
1 Brazil Catarinense U20
50%
Fancied
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
1 Argentina Primera Women
50%

Latest Winnings

11/07/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1
@1.31
4-2
11/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1
@1.35
3-0
11/07/26
China League One
Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1
@1.31
2-0
11/07/26
Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
1
@1.32
2-0
11/07/26
Estonia Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5
@1.49
3-2
10/07/26
Euro U19 Women
Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
2
@1.35
0-1
10/07/26
Russia Youth League
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19
2
@1.33
1-3
10/07/26
Argentina Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
1
@1.43
3-1
10/07/26
South Korea WK League
Seoul W vs Suwon FC W
X2
@1.13
0-3
09/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1
@1.24
3-2
09/07/26
Finland Kakkonen C
Musa vs Grlfk
Over 2.5
@1.37
3-1
09/07/26
World Cup 2026
France vs Morocco
Over 1.5
@1.27
2-0
09/07/26
Club Friendly
Unterhaching vs Regensburg
Over 2.5
@1.42
2-0
09/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Independiente W vs Racing Club W
2
@1.33
1-3
08/07/26
Morocco Coupe Du Trone
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1
@1.19
2-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2
@1.23
0-1
08/07/26
USA USL League Two
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1
@1.17
4-1
08/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2
@1.16
1-2
08/07/26
Club Friendly
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5
@1.42
2-2
07/07/26
Club Friendly
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5
@1.14
1-1

Performance by Tip Type
7d30d90dAll
X2 100%
3W  /  0L  · 3 tips
1X 81%
17W  /  4L  · 21 tips
1 80.7%
88W  /  21L  · 109 tips
Over 2.5 78.3%
18W  /  5L  · 23 tips
Over 1.5 75%
21W  /  7L  · 28 tips
2 73.3%
22W  /  8L  · 30 tips

Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 69% 90% 83% 66% 78% 79% 73%
1X 62% 89% 80% 88% 78% 83% —
2 55% 79% 83% 77% 71% 75% 75%
Over 1.5 64% 85% 60% 77% 86% 100% —
Over 2.5 64% 65% 73% 75% 60% 100% 75%
X2 — 67% — — 100% — —

Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

1 Rock Steady
78.4%
0-30d
78%
30-60d
74.6%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
76.5%
0-30d
72.2%
30-60d
76.9%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
70.8%
0-30d
76.5%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 Rock Steady
73.7%
0-30d
64%
30-60d
68.8%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 A Bit Choppy
73.3%
0-30d
69.2%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

X2 Streaky
100%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

Big swings between hot and cold spells -- treat any single run with a pinch of salt.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


Betting Terms, Explained
BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume331 tips
Accuracy77.3%
256W / 75L
2
2
Volume70 tips
Accuracy75.7%
53W / 17L
3
Over 2.5
Volume60 tips
Accuracy68.3%
41W / 19L
4
Over 1.5
Volume50 tips
Accuracy74%
37W / 13L
5
1X
Volume48 tips
Accuracy75%
36W / 12L
6
X2
Volume7 tips
Accuracy85.7%
6W / 1L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


Win Rate Tracker
7d30d90d
76.3% Excellent Last 30 days
0%50%100%
Won145 tips
Lost45 tips
145
Won
45
Lost
@1.27
Avg Odds
-3.1%
ROI
190
Settled
18+ Gamble responsibly BeGambleAware

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