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17th Feb 2025

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Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 80.7%

Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X Europa League Qualifiers
Strong lean · 82/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X has been a slower burner for us at 74.5% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1 Conference League Qualifiers
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 78.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1 Conference League Qualifiers
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 78.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
FCSB vs Auda
1 Conference League Qualifiers
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 78.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
HJK vs Coleraine
1 Conference League Qualifiers
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 78.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
FC Santa Coloma vs SK Rapid
2 Conference League Qualifiers
Speculative · 48/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 has been a slower burner for us at 76.1% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
St Gallen vs Benfica
2 Europa League Qualifier
Speculative · 48/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 has been a slower burner for us at 76.1% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Twente vs Ferencvaros
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 74.5% for us across the last 90 days (47 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 74.5% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Lugano vs Dukagjini
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 78.8% for us across the last 90 days (316 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 78.8% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 78.8% for us across the last 90 days (316 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 78.8% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
FCSB vs Auda
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 78.8% for us across the last 90 days (316 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 78.8% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
HJK vs Coleraine
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 78.8% for us across the last 90 days (316 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 78.8% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
FC Santa Coloma vs SK Rapid
We've put this at a 20% chance of landing. 2 tips have hit 76.1% for us across the last 90 days (67 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 76.1% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
St Gallen vs Benfica
We've put this at a 20% chance of landing. 2 tips have hit 76.1% for us across the last 90 days (67 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 76.1% against a site average of 80.7%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

Today's Confidence Ladder

Thu 23 Jul · Ranked by stated win probability

Locked In
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X Europa League Qualifiers
90%
Fancied
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1 Conference League Qualifiers
50%
Fancied
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1 Conference League Qualifiers
50%
Fancied
FCSB vs Auda
1 Conference League Qualifiers
50%
Fancied
HJK vs Coleraine
1 Conference League Qualifiers
50%
Longshot
FC Santa Coloma vs SK Rapid
2 Conference League Qualifiers
20%
Longshot
St Gallen vs Benfica
2 Europa League Qualifier
20%

Latest Winnings

22/07/26
Brazil Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1
@1.39
3-2
22/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2
@1.30
0-1
22/07/26
Argentina Reserve League
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1
@1.37
4-0
22/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 2.5
@1.50
1-2
22/07/26
Scotland League Cup
Queen of South vs Aberdeen
2
@1.30
1-4
22/07/26
Ecuador Liga Pro
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1
@1.19
3-0
21/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5
@1.21
1-1
21/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5
@1.44
3-0
21/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5
@1.38
1-0
21/07/26
China FA Cup
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
Over 2.5
@1.40
2-2
21/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5
@1.16
1-2
18/07/26
Ireland National League Women
Athlone WFC W vs Bohemians WFC W
1
@1.13
3-0
18/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
1
@1.24
4-0
18/07/26
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Minija vs Jonava
1
@1.22
2-1
18/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
1
@1.27
2-1
18/07/26
Belarusian Cup
FC Slonim vs Isloch
2
@1.19
0-1
18/07/26
Iceland Division 1
Throttur vs Volsungor
1
@1.19
1-0
17/07/26
China Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5
@1.36
2-2
17/07/26
Iceland Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1
@1.30
2-1
17/07/26
Ireland FA Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1
@1.45
4-1

Stats are currently being built in the background. Please check back shortly.

Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 71% 90% 83% 69% 77% 79% 73%
1X 67% 89% 80% 88% 78% 83% —
2 55% 79% 83% 77% 71% 76% 75%
Over 1.5 69% 88% 67% 78% 86% 100% —
Over 2.5 64% 68% 77% 76% 67% 100% 75%
X2 — 67% — — 100% — —

Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
77.4%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
71.4%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 Rock Steady
73.7%
0-30d
75.9%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
84.8%
0-30d
77.2%
30-60d
76.5%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X A Bit Choppy
76.9%
0-30d
78.9%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Over 2.5 A Bit Choppy
79.3%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
70.6%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


Betting Terms, Explained
BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.


Win Rate Tracker
7d30d90d
80.7% Excellent Last 30 days
0%50%100%
Won146 tips
Lost35 tips
146
Won
35
Lost
@1.28
Avg Odds
+3.2%
ROI
181
Settled
18+ Gamble responsibly BeGambleAware

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