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20th Jul 2025

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Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 77%

Jaro 2 vs SJK Akatemia 2
1X Finland Kakkonen C
Strong lean · 84/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. 1X tips have actually beaten our site average lately, landing at 77.1% over the last 90 days. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
Strong lean · 80/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1 Morocco Coupe Du Trone
Worth a look · 68/100
This one sits at 60% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 76.6% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1 USA USL League Two
Worth a look · 63/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 76.6% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2 USA USL League Two
Speculative · 48/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 has been a slower burner for us at 75.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2 Argentina Primera Women
Speculative · 48/100
This one sits at 20% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 2 has been a slower burner for us at 75.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Jaro 2 vs SJK Akatemia 2
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. 1X tips have hit 77.1% for us across the last 90 days (48 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
Yes, historically -- 1X has actually run ahead of our overall 77% average, landing at 77.1% across 48 graded tips.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 70.9% for us across the last 90 days (55 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.9% against a site average of 77%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 70.9% for us across the last 90 days (55 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.9% against a site average of 77%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
We've put this at a 60% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.6% for us across the last 90 days (338 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 76.6% against a site average of 77%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Delaware vs Eagle FC
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 76.6% for us across the last 90 days (338 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 76.6% against a site average of 77%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
We've put this at a 20% chance of landing. 2 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (73 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.3% against a site average of 77%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
We've put this at a 20% chance of landing. 2 tips have hit 75.3% for us across the last 90 days (73 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.3% against a site average of 77%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

Today's Confidence Ladder

Wed 8 Jul · Ranked by stated win probability

Locked In
Jaro 2 vs SJK Akatemia 2
1X Finland Kakkonen C
90%
Locked In
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
90%
Locked In
Dinamo Zagreb vs Koper
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
90%
Fancied
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
1 Morocco Coupe Du Trone
60%
Fancied
Delaware vs Eagle FC
1 USA USL League Two
50%
Longshot
Cleveland Force vs Steel City
2 USA USL League Two
20%
Longshot
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
2 Argentina Primera Women
20%

Stats last verified 3 minutes ago · refreshed hourly, straight from our results database

Latest Winnings

07/07/26
Club Friendly
Roskilde vs AB Copenhagen
Over 1.5
@1.14
1-1
07/07/26
Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1
@1.17
3-0
07/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
UNA Strassen vs La Florita
1
@1.27
1-0
07/07/26
Club Friendly
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Over 2.5
@1.47
3-1
07/07/26
Australia NPL ACT
Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City
1X
@1.14
2-1
07/07/26
World Cup 2026
Argentina vs Egypt
1
@1.36
3-2
06/07/26
World Cup 2026
USA vs Belgium
Over 1.5
@1.21
1-4
06/07/26
Club Friendly
Colwyn Bay vs Rhyl
Over 2.5
@1.57
3-2
04/07/26
Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
Over 1.5
@1.20
4-0
04/07/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Mariehamn
1
@1.31
4-0
04/07/26
China Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port
Over 1.5
@1.22
2-1
04/07/26
Australia NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Olympic FC
1
@1.35
2-0
04/07/26
Latvia Virsliga
RFS vs Auda
1X
@1.10
1-1
02/07/26
Ecuador Serie B
Atletico FC vs El Nacional
1
@1.48
3-0
02/07/26
Morocco Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
1
@1.48
2-0
02/07/26
Estonia Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
Over 2.5
@0.98
0-3
02/07/26
Finland Kakkonen B
EBK vs Abo
X2
@1.12
1-6
02/07/26
Iceland Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
1
@1.12
3-2
01/07/26
Canadian Premier League
Forge vs Vancouver FC
1
@1.38
3-2
01/07/26
World Cup 2026
Belgium vs Senegal
Over 1.5
@1.30
2-2

Performance by Tip Type
7d30d90dAll
X2 100%
3W  /  0L  · 3 tips
1 80.2%
81W  /  20L  · 101 tips
Over 2.5 77.8%
14W  /  4L  · 18 tips
1X 77.3%
17W  /  5L  · 22 tips
2 70.4%
19W  /  8L  · 27 tips
Over 1.5 68%
17W  /  8L  · 25 tips

Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 69% 90% 82% 66% 77% 79% 73%
1X 62% 89% 89% 88% 78% 83% —
2 55% 79% 81% 76% 67% 75% 75%
Over 1.5 64% 85% 60% 80% 86% 100% —
Over 2.5 64% 65% 78% 72% 75% 100% 75%
X2 — 67% — — — — —

Verified Track Record

Every graded tip, logged before kickoff, nothing hidden

63.3%
Accuracy
19
Won
11
Lost
0
Void
DateMatchTipResult
7 JulRoskilde vs AB CopenhagenOver 1.5✓ Won
7 JulSpain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W1✓ Won
7 JulUNA Strassen vs La Florita1✓ Won
7 JulLegia vs Beer ShevaOver 2.5✓ Won
7 JulMonaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City1X✓ Won
7 JulArgentina vs Egypt1✓ Won
6 JulUSA vs BelgiumOver 1.5✓ Won
6 JulU Catolica vs Mushuc Runa1X✗ Lost
6 JulColwyn Bay vs RhylOver 2.5✓ Won
6 JulSuduva vs TransinvestOver 1.5✗ Lost

Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

1 Rock Steady
80.2%
0-30d
78.1%
30-60d
74.1%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
77.3%
0-30d
70.6%
30-60d
76.9%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 1.5 A Bit Choppy
68%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

2 A Bit Choppy
70.4%
0-30d
70.8%
30-60d
87%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Over 2.5 A Bit Choppy
77.8%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
78.6%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

X2 Streaky
100%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

Big swings between hot and cold spells -- treat any single run with a pinch of salt.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


Betting Terms, Explained
BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.

Market Depth Index

How often we publish each market vs how often it lands · last 90 days

1
1
Volume338 tips
Accuracy76.6%
259W / 79L
2
2
Volume73 tips
Accuracy75.3%
55W / 18L
3
Over 2.5
Volume55 tips
Accuracy70.9%
39W / 16L
4
Over 1.5
Volume51 tips
Accuracy76.5%
39W / 12L
5
1X
Volume48 tips
Accuracy77.1%
37W / 11L
6
X2
Volume6 tips
Accuracy83.3%
5W / 1L

Minimum 3 settled tips required to show up here.


League Performance — Last 30 Days
7d30d90dAll
# LeagueTipsWonLostWin %ROI
🏋 Copa Chile 2 2 0 100% +35%
🥈 Belarus Cup 2 2 0 100% +31%
🥉 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 10 10 0 100% +18%
4 Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland 2 2 0 100% +21%
5 Brazil Catarinense U20 2 2 0 100% +32%
6 Chile Primera Division Women 3 3 0 100% +18%
7 Australia NPL Queensland 3 3 0 100% +30%
8 Euro WCQ Women 6 6 0 100% +28%
9 Latvia Virsliga 11 10 1 90.9% +9.1%
10 Finland Veikkausliiga 6 5 1 83.3% +7.5%
11 World Cup 2026 25 20 5 80% +4.8%
12 Club Friendly 5 4 1 80% +11.2%
13 International Friendly 4 3 1 75% -10%
14 China SL Women 4 3 1 75% +0.5%
15 Brasileiro U20 6 4 2 66.7% -7.3%
16 Lithuania 1 Lyga 3 2 1 66.7% -17.3%
17 Kuwait Premier League 3 2 1 66.7% -18.7%
18 Iceland Besta deild karla 5 3 2 60% -25%
19 Iceland Besta deild Women 2 1 1 50% -41.5%
20 China League One 2 1 1 50% -28%
21 Kazakhstan Premier League 2 1 1 50% -36%
22 Estonia Esiliiga 2 1 1 50% -36.5%
23 Brazil Paulista B 2 1 1 50% -28.5%
24 Euro U19 2 1 1 50% -40%
25 Lithuania TopLyga 2 1 1 50% -40.5%
26 Morocco Botola Pro 4 2 2 50% -35%
27 Estonia Meistriliiga 4 2 2 50% -40.5%
28 Sweden D2 Norrland 2 1 1 50% -29.5%
29 Sweden Div 1 Norra 2 1 1 50% -26%
30 Belarus Vysshaya Liga 2 1 1 50% -34.5%
31 Argentina Reserve League 5 2 3 40% -51.2%
32 Georgia Crystalbet Liga 2 2 0 2 0% -100%
33 Sweden D2 Norra Gotaland 2 0 2 0% -100%
Leagues with fewer than 2 settled tips are hidden

Win Rate Tracker
7d30d90d
77% Excellent Last 30 days
0%50%100%
Won151 tips
Lost45 tips
151
Won
45
Lost
@1.26
Avg Odds
-2.9%
ROI
196
Settled
18+ Gamble responsibly BeGambleAware

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