Sure Tips 360

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12th Jul 2026

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Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 80%

Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier
Strong lean · 83/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 75% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers
Strong lean · 83/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 75% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Strong lean · 75/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5 Icelandic Cup
Strong lean · 75/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers
Strong lean · 75/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers
Strong lean · 75/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 70.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 78.8% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Goteborg vs Levadia
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 75% for us across the last 90 days (52 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 75% for us across the last 90 days (52 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 70.3% for us across the last 90 days (64 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.3% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Fylkir vs Afturelding
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 70.3% for us across the last 90 days (64 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.3% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 70.3% for us across the last 90 days (64 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.3% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 70.3% for us across the last 90 days (64 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 70.3% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 78.8% for us across the last 90 days (321 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 78.8% against a site average of 80%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

Today's Confidence Ladder

Tue 21 Jul · Ranked by stated win probability

Locked In
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier
90%
Locked In
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers
90%
Locked In
80%
Locked In
Fylkir vs Afturelding
Over 2.5 Icelandic Cup
80%
Locked In
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers
80%
Locked In
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5 UCL Qualifiers
80%
Fancied
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia
50%

Latest Winnings

18/07/26
Ireland National League Women
Athlone WFC W vs Bohemians WFC W
1
@1.13
3-0
18/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
1
@1.24
4-0
18/07/26
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Minija vs Jonava
1
@1.22
2-1
18/07/26
Norway Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
1
@1.27
2-1
18/07/26
Belarusian Cup
FC Slonim vs Isloch
2
@1.19
0-1
18/07/26
Iceland Division 1
Throttur vs Volsungor
1
@1.19
1-0
17/07/26
China Super League
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5
@1.36
2-2
17/07/26
Iceland Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1
@1.30
2-1
17/07/26
Ireland FA Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1
@1.45
4-1
17/07/26
Slovenia PRVA Liga
Celje vs Mura
Over 2.5
@1.45
2-2
16/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
1
@1.44
3-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1
@1.22
1-0
16/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Over 1.5
@1.17
1-2
16/07/26
Europa League Qualifier
Vestri vs Qarabag
Over 2.5
@1.42
0-3
16/07/26
Iceland Divsion 1
Afturelding vs Leiknir
1
@1.39
3-2
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Shkendija vs Europa FC
1
@1.22
1-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
RFS vs Glentoran
1
@1.42
2-0
16/07/26
Conference League Qualifier
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1
@1.43
2-1
15/07/26
Club Friendly
Ajax vs Bochum
Over 1.5
@1.15
1-1
15/07/26
Australia NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5
@1.38
0-5

Stats are currently being built in the background. Please check back shortly.

Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 71% 90% 83% 69% 77% 79% 73%
1X 67% 89% 80% 88% 78% 83% —
2 55% 79% 83% 77% 71% 76% 75%
Over 1.5 69% 87% 67% 78% 86% 100% —
Over 2.5 64% 67% 77% 76% 67% 100% 75%
X2 — 67% — — 100% — —

Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

1 Rock Steady
84.3%
0-30d
77.5%
30-60d
76.4%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

2 Rock Steady
70%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
78.9%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
76.7%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X A Bit Choppy
73.3%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Over 2.5 A Bit Choppy
80%
0-30d
61.9%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


Betting Terms, Explained
BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.


Win Rate Tracker
7d30d90d
80% Excellent Last 30 days
0%50%100%
Won140 tips
Lost35 tips
140
Won
35
Lost
@1.28
Avg Odds
+2.4%
ROI
175
Settled
18+ Gamble responsibly BeGambleAware

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