Intelligent Soccer Predictions

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5th Jul 2026

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Pick Breakdown

Why we like each pick, in plain terms · site average sits at 78.5%

Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers
Strong lean · 83/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 75.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Ajax vs Bochum
Over 1.5 Club Friendly
Strong lean · 83/100
We're giving this a 90% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 1.5 has been a slower burner for us at 75.9% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
Strong lean · 74/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 68.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Northern NSW
Strong lean · 74/100
We're giving this a 80% shot -- that's a confident number by our own standards. Over 2.5 has been a slower burner for us at 68.3% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Ordabasy vs Altai
1 Kazakhstan Cup
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 77.2% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
1 Brazil Catarinense 2
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 77.2% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
1 Brazil Catarinense U20
Worth a look · 64/100
This one sits at 50% -- not a banker, more of a value angle. 1 has been a slower burner for us at 77.2% over 90 days -- still playable, just factor it in. Fixture context and current form were weighed in too -- always worth a final team-news check before kickoff.

Just our read of the numbers -- not betting advice. Always gamble responsibly.


Got Questions About Today's Picks?

Tap a question to see the numbers behind each pick

Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 75.9% for us across the last 90 days (54 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.9% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ajax vs Bochum
We've put this at a 90% chance of landing. Over 1.5 tips have hit 75.9% for us across the last 90 days (54 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 75.9% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 68.3% for us across the last 90 days (60 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 68.3% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
We've put this at a 80% chance of landing. Over 2.5 tips have hit 68.3% for us across the last 90 days (60 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 68.3% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Ordabasy vs Altai
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (325 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 77.2% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (325 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 77.2% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
We've put this at a 50% chance of landing. 1 tips have hit 77.2% for us across the last 90 days (325 graded), which fed into the call. Combine that with recent form and it's a pick we're comfortable putting our name to.
It's been a bit patchier for us -- 77.2% against a site average of 78.5%, so we lean on it selectively rather than every time it shows up.
Team news is the big one -- a surprise absence up front or in goal can shift things fast. It's always worth a quick check of the lineups nearer kickoff, and keeping an eye on whether the odds move noticeably in the hours before the game.

Today's Confidence Ladder

Wed 15 Jul · Ranked by stated win probability

Locked In
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers
90%
Locked In
Ajax vs Bochum
Over 1.5 Club Friendly
90%
Locked In
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5 Club Friendly
80%
Locked In
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Northern NSW
80%
Fancied
Ordabasy vs Altai
1 Kazakhstan Cup
50%
Fancied
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
1 Brazil Catarinense 2
50%
Fancied
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
1 Brazil Catarinense U20
50%

Latest Winnings

14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka
1
@1.37
4-0
14/07/26
China Super League
Zhejiang Professional vs Qingdao Hainiu
Over 2.5
@1.38
3-2
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Larne vs Tre Flori
1
@1.18
2-1
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
Riga vs Ararat Armenia
Over 1.5
@1.23
3-2
14/07/26
UCL Qualifiers
KUPS vs Vardar
1X
@1.14
2-3
14/07/26
World Cup 2026
France vs Spain
Over 1.5
@1.25
0-2
13/07/26
A2-1rgentina Primera Women
Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W
1X
@1.18
2-1
13/07/26
Russia FNL Round 1
Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
Over 1.5
@1.28
3-1
13/07/26
Paraguay Division Intermedia
Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
Over 1.5
@1.30
1-3
13/07/26
Brazil Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20
1
@1.27
3-1
13/07/26
China League One
Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi
1X
@1.16
1-0
13/07/26
Argentina Primera Women
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
1
@1.38
1-0
11/07/26
Finland Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs Mariehamn
1
@1.31
4-2
11/07/26
Lithuania Toplyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1
@1.35
3-0
11/07/26
China League One
Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1
@1.31
2-0
11/07/26
Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Germany U19
1
@1.32
2-0
11/07/26
Estonia Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
Over 2.5
@1.49
3-2
10/07/26
Euro U19 Women
Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
2
@1.35
0-1
10/07/26
Russia Youth League
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19
2
@1.33
1-3
10/07/26
Argentina Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
1
@1.43
3-1

Stats are currently being built in the background. Please check back shortly.

Win Rate Grid

Tip type × day of week · last 180 days

Tip TypeMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 71% 90% 83% 66% 78% 79% 73%
1X 67% 89% 80% 88% 78% 83% —
2 55% 79% 83% 77% 71% 75% 75%
Over 1.5 69% 87% 60% 77% 86% 100% —
Over 2.5 64% 67% 73% 75% 60% 100% 75%
X2 — 67% — — 100% — —

Reliability Tracker

Comparing win rate across three rolling 30-day windows -- steadiest markets rise to the top

Over 1.5 Rock Steady
75%
0-30d
76.5%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1 Rock Steady
79.5%
0-30d
79.2%
30-60d
74%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

1X Rock Steady
80%
0-30d
70.6%
30-60d
72.7%
60-90d

This one holds up week to week -- a dependable pick if you like predictable form.

Over 2.5 A Bit Choppy
75%
0-30d
60.9%
30-60d
70.6%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

2 A Bit Choppy
77.8%
0-30d
68%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d

Some ups and downs across recent months -- solid overall, just not razor-consistent.

X2 Streaky
100%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
—
60-90d

Big swings between hot and cold spells -- treat any single run with a pinch of salt.

Rock Steady = ≤12pp swing · A Bit Choppy = 13–25pp · Streaky = >25pp. Min. 5 tips/window.


Betting Terms, Explained
BTTS
Short for Both Teams To Score -- wins if each side nets at least once, whatever the final score.
Over 1.5 Goals
Needs 2+ total goals in the match to land, regardless of which side scores them.
Over 2.5 Goals
Needs 3+ total goals in the match -- a step up in risk from Over 1.5.
Double Chance
Covers two of the three possible results in one bet (e.g. Home win or Draw), trading some odds for extra safety.
Asian Handicap
A goal head-start or deficit applied to a team before kickoff, used to level out mismatched sides.
Correct Score
A bet on the exact final scoreline -- long odds, low hit rate, high reward.


Win Rate Tracker
7d30d90d
78.5% Excellent Last 30 days
0%50%100%
Won146 tips
Lost40 tips
146
Won
40
Lost
@1.27
Avg Odds
-0.3%
ROI
186
Settled
18+ Gamble responsibly BeGambleAware

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